NOAA computer models predict coastal areas to be hit by oil spill
Computer modeling tracking wind and water motion predicts where the oil billowing from BP's ruptured well is likely to come ashore.
The coastline stretching from the western Panhandle of Florida to the Mississippi River has the greatest probability of being affected by the Deepwater oil spill, according to a new federal report based on a computer program released today.
The report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) said the probability of the oil spill reaching the Mississippi-Alabama-Florida panhandle coastal area is 81 percent to 100 percent, according to a news release.
The NOAA modeling results released today are based on a computer program of historical weather and water current patterns. NOAA is monitoring the movement of the oil slick and updating its projections every 72 hours.
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NOAA interactive map tracks Gulf oil spill
According to the NOAA modeling, the Texas coastline has a 1 percent to 40 percent chance of being affected, and most of Florida’s Gulf Coast has a 20 percent chance of being impacted.
Along the Atlantic Coast moving north from Fort Lauderdale, the probability of being affected from the spill ranges from 20 percent to less than 1 percent.
NOAA recently created a public Web site to allow the public to track developing information about the movement of the oil spill, recovery efforts, effects on shorelines and wildlife, and other concerns.
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